Millions of options contracts trade on the US options exchanges each day. The record was set on September 18, 2008 when more than 30 million puts and calls traded across the seven US options exchanges. Each year, volumes continue to set records as more and more investors turn to the options market for opportunities. Some are looking for tools to hedge and manage risk, others are speculating on short term moves in a stock or market, and still others use more advanced strategies like butterflies and condors to create a range of different risk-reward scenarios.
Uncovering what strategy another options trader is opening or closing can be enlightening. For example, if a strategist opens a butterfly involving 10,000 contracts, the equivalent of 1 million shares, chances are there was some research done before entering that order. Or, if a put option contract on a banking stock is seeing 10,000 contracts traded, all in orders of 100 contracts or less, it is probably an indication that many smaller investors are worried about the outlook for that bank.
One important indicator of whether investors are buying or selling an options contract is whether the trade is on the bidside or the askside of the current market quote. Like with stocks, the bid is price offer the market is willing to pay for an options contract. The ask is the current selling price. If, for example, I want to buy November 20 calls on Citigroup, the current asking price is $4.55. If I want it filled right away, that’s the price I pay. On the other hand, if I want to sell the price is $4.30. The difference between the two is the spread.
When a lot of trading activity is on the offerside, chances are buyers are initiating the trade. This is true regardless of whether it is a put or call. On the other hand, if the day’s trading is hitting bidside, it is indicative of initiating sell orders. Trade Alert updates us on whether the trade is hitting on the bids and offers. We don’t monitor all of the 1000s of listed contracts ourselves. In addition, if a trade hits between the bids and offers (midmarket) and we aren’t sure, we ask our contacts on the exchange floor whether the trade is being initiated as a buy or sell order.
The buying and selling is then used as an indicator of investor sentiment towards a specific stock or market. For example, if the majority of the day’s trading volume, is calls hitting offerside, it is an indication of bullish sentiment. RedHat (RHT) was a recent example, when volume picked up on October 1. 34,000 calls and 1,300 puts traded on the stock. Nearly all of the call volume was trading on the offer and, as a result, directional sentiment based on the order flow in RHT turned to 94 percent bullish. Short puts, or puts hitting bidside, are also viewed as bullish activity. Meanwhile, put volume traded offerside or calls hitting bidside are considered indicators of bearish sentiment. (Please visit our FAQ section for more on how we track buyers/sellers and bullish/bearish sentiment).

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