Early indications point to a modest market rebound, but trading is likely to remain cautious following another dose of grim economic news. Less than an hour before the start of trading in New York, stock index futures indicate that the Dow Jones Industrial Average might recover 20 or 30 of the 269 points lost the day before.
Stock index futures fell early Wednesday after ADP said that the US economy add just 13,000 private sector jobs during the month of June. The number fell well short of economist estimates, which called for an increase of 61,000.
In addition, the bad news comes two days before the Labor Department releases its monthly report. Economists expect Friday’s data to show the economy losing 100,000 jobs and the unemployment rate edging up to 9.8 from 9.7 percent.
Attention first shifts to manufacturing data and the Chicago Purchasing Manager’s Index [PMI]. Economists expect to see a drop to 59 in June, down from 59.7 the month before. The data has market-moving potential, as it is likely to guide expectations for tomorrow’s more widely watched ISM manufacturing data.
Bonds continue to find support from the bleak economic news. The benchmark ten-year Treasury is flat in early action and yields 2.95 percent.
Crude oil is little changed, at $76 a barrel, ahead of weekly inventory later today. Gold lost $2.7 to $1,239.70 an ounce.
Trading in Europe is quiet after big losses the day before. France’s CAC 40, which tumbled 4 percent yesterday, is down .3 percent. Germany’s DAX and UK’s FTSE are seeing modest gains. The euro edged up .008 to 1.2264.
Among the stocks to watch, Dow component Boeing (BA) is in focus on news it is acquiring Argon ST (STST) for $34.50 per share, sending Argon shares rallying 40 percent. Abraxis (ABII) is up more than 21 percent after Celgene (CELG) announced plans to buy the biotech. Monsanto (MON) is down nearly 2 percent after reporting a quarterly profit of 81 cents per share, which beat Street estimates by a penny, but revenues fell short of expectations. General Mills (GIS) also fell on disappointing earnings news.
End of month and end of quarter position squaring and window dressing is likely to affect today’s trading as well.